Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 1.408325 1.603577 1.816057 2.064466 2.346953 2.658259 3.027449
2025-11-23 1.109379 1.375510 1.690361 2.090400 2.585413 3.178278 3.943030
2025-11-30 0.927942 1.220392 1.586962 2.080344 2.727634 3.548876 4.671781
2025-12-07 0.789531 1.089744 1.484292 2.041034 2.807341 3.826651 5.288673
2025-12-14 0.679547 0.978076 1.386859 1.987847 2.850226 4.045377 5.832349
2025-12-21 0.601195 0.898399 1.320614 1.964599 2.923811 4.302962 6.443346
2025-12-28 0.564280 0.872697 1.325837 2.040651 3.142363 4.780640 7.411470
2026-01-04 0.508371 0.811604 1.271209 2.019156 3.208953 5.034199 8.059388
2026-01-11 0.477748 0.785749 1.266387 2.071726 3.391335 5.475692 9.034233
2026-01-18 0.440501 0.745085 1.233621 2.075023 3.492754 5.794567 9.835715
2026-01-25 0.401741 0.697824 1.185249 2.046925 3.537772 6.022290 10.501393
2026-02-01 0.365856 0.651794 1.134341 2.008877 3.560659 6.211879 11.113934
2026-02-08 0.338932 0.621626 1.112462 2.027772 3.699628 6.638705 12.233058
2026-02-15 0.314977 0.594841 1.094883 2.054554 3.859340 7.124674 13.524579
2026-02-22 0.288678 0.560582 1.059841 2.044623 3.948857 7.489856 14.626397
2026-03-01 0.261731 0.522012 1.012587 2.005992 3.978796 7.744974 15.541179
2026-03-08 0.236280 0.483510 0.961349 1.953720 3.975660 7.934444 16.343109
2026-03-15 0.217012 0.455231 0.926969 1.930873 4.027613 8.234322 17.394746
2026-03-22 0.209924 0.451096 0.940070 2.005616 4.285299 8.968820 19.417169
2026-03-29 0.193920 0.426504 0.908914 1.984490 4.339715 9.290506 20.596090
2026-04-05 0.186097 0.418662 0.911828 2.036156 4.554445 9.967329 22.612521
2026-04-12 0.174679 0.401697 0.893549 2.039396 4.662846 10.425113 24.187150
2026-04-19 0.161774 0.380044 0.862923 2.011782 4.698895 10.726539 25.435125